Skip to main content
calculator

Should I refinance my mortgage?

Five inputs: what you owe, your current rate, the years left, the new rate, and the new term. The calculator returns the break-even month, and then the question most refinance calculators skip: what each path costs over the years you actually have left, counting the balance a longer new term still owes when the old loan would have been paid off. A lower payment and a higher total cost can be the same deal; this page prices both.

Published · 2026-08-21Updated · 2026-08-21By Tejas Shah, Co-founderRates · Freddie Mac PMMS, 2026-08-20

Loading the calculator.

How break-even works

Both loans are priced with the same amortization formula: the fixed monthly payment that retires the balance over the term. Your current loan is priced over the years you have left, the new loan over its full term, and the difference is the monthly savings. Closing costs divided by those savings, rounded up to whole months, is the break-even: the month the refinance stops being underwater. At the defaults, $236 a month against $10,500 of costs puts it 45 months out, around May 2030.

Break-even barely moves with the size of the loan, because both sides scale together: a bigger balance saves more per month and costs proportionally more to close. What moves it is the size of the rate drop and the closing costs. At the defaults, a drop to 6.5% instead of 6.65% pulls break-even from 45 months to 40; closing at 2% instead of 3.5% pulls it to 26.

Break-even answers one question: how long you must keep the new loan before the savings cover the costs. It says nothing about whether the refinance wins over the life of the loan. That is the next section, and it is where the payment-only view goes wrong.

The term-reset trap

A refinance usually restarts the clock. At the defaults you have 27 years left, and the new loan runs 30, so the new loan is still 36 months from payoff on the day the old one would have died. The honest comparison holds the horizon fixed: over the next 27 years, keeping the loan costs $700,553 and ends at zero, while refinancing costs $10,500 to close, $623,990 of payments, and still owes $62,697 at your old payoff date, $697,187 in all. At the defaults the refinance squeaks out $3,366 ahead on that measure, because the rate drop is nearly a full point. Run both loans to their own finish lines instead and the refinance pays $703,822 against $700,553 for keeping: a lower payment, and more money out the door.

Shrink the rate drop or the years left and the same arithmetic turns hard against the reset. With 20 years left, the fresh 30-year loan saves $491 a month and breaks even in 22 months, yet keeping the old loan comes out $61,164 ahead over those 20 years. The break-even number and the horizon number disagree because they answer different questions, and the second one is the one your net worth experiences.

The fix is the term control above: price the same rate drop over a term that matches your remaining years. In the 20-year case, the matched term saves only $153 a month, but refinancing then wins the horizon by $26,337. The small saving is real; the large one was borrowed from your own future.

What refinancing costs

A refinance is a new mortgage, with a new mortgage's fees: origination, appraisal, title search and insurance, and recording. Freddie Mac puts typical closing costs at 2% to 5%; that range is quoted against a home's purchase price, and this calculator applies it to the loan balance as a working simplification, which is conservative whenever you owe less than the home is worth.

At the default $300,000 balance, the range runs $6,000 to $15,000, and the 3.5% default lands at $10,500. The spread matters more than it looks: at 2% the default refinance breaks even in 26 months and wins the horizon by $7,866; at 5% break-even stretches to 64 months and keeping the loan comes out $1,134 ahead. Shopping the fees is worth real money, and a "no-closing-cost" refinance is the same fees moved into the rate or the balance, not their absence.

What the calculator does not know

Your quote. The default new rate is a national survey average for a 30-year fixed mortgage; actual offers depend on your credit, your equity, and the lender. It also assumes you refinance the balance as it stands: cash-out refinancing, discount points bought at closing, and fees rolled into the new balance all change the arithmetic, and none are modeled here.

The comparison is fixed-rate against fixed-rate. An adjustable-rate mortgage, on either side, has no single lifetime cost to compare. Mortgage interest deductions, escrow, taxes, and insurance are outside both loans and outside this page. And the model compares dollars, not dollars discounted over time; over decades, inflation makes the later payments cheaper than the early ones in a way a flat sum does not capture.

This is a rate-and-term refinance model. It answers whether swapping one fixed loan for another is worth the fees over your horizon. Your lender's Loan Estimate is the binding document; this page is for understanding it before you sign one.

For agents and scripts

This calculator is built to be used without a browser. Every input is a query parameter on this page, and the same parameters on the JSON twin return the complete answer as a document.

GET /tools/refinance.json?balance=300000&currentRate=7.5&yearsLeft=27&newRate=6.65

The response carries inputs after parsing and clamping, result with both payments, the monthly savings, closing costs, breakEvenMonths (null when the payment does not drop), the keep-versus-refinance horizon totals, lifetime interest on each path, plus sensitivity tables by new rate and new term, drivers ranked by effect with a plain sentence each, assumptions that say for every field whether you supplied it and which source the default came from, sources with URLs and as-of dates, warnings, a disclaimer, and in tool the canonicalUrl and jsonUrl that carry only your non-default parameters. The canonical URL is the answer's permanent address; use it when you cite the number.

Parameters, all optional, in any order:

  • balance ($), default $300,000.
  • currentRate (%), default 7.5%.
  • yearsLeft (years), default 27 years.
  • newRate (%), default 6.65%, from Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.
  • newTerm (years), default 30 years.
  • closingRate (%), default 3.5%, from Freddie Mac, What are closing costs and how much will I pay?.

Values accept plain numbers and loose human formats such as 100k, $100,000, or 6.5%. Unknown parameters are ignored, values outside a field's range are clamped and reported in warnings, and the endpoint never fails on bad input. Responses are cacheable for a day; the defaults change when their sources publish, and tool.version changes when the method does.

Common questions

How long does it take to break even on a refinance?

Divide the closing costs by the monthly savings. At the defaults, refinancing $300,000 from 7.5% to the published 6.65% average drops the payment from $2,162 to $1,926, saving $236 a month. Closing costs of $10,500 take 45 months of those savings to earn back, around May 2030. Sell or refinance again before then and the deal loses money no matter how good the rate looked.

Is it worth refinancing for 0.5%?

Usually not at typical closing costs, and the arithmetic says why. At the defaults, a half-point drop from 7.5% to 7% saves $166 a month, so the $10,500 of closing costs take 64 months to earn back. Worse, the new loan runs 36 months past your current payoff date, and over the 27 years you have left, keeping the loan comes out $21,261 ahead. A full point's drop to 6.5% breaks even in 40 months and wins the horizon by $13,815; run your own numbers above.

Should I refinance into another 30-year loan?

Match the term to the years you have left if you can. With 20 years left on the loan, a fresh 30-year term at the default rates saves $491 a month and breaks even in 22 months, which looks great. But over those same 20 years, keeping the old loan comes out $61,164 ahead, because at your old payoff date the new loan would still owe $168,476. The same rate drop into a 20-year term saves only $153 a month, yet refinancing then comes out $26,337 ahead over the horizon.

What are closing costs on a refinance?

Lender origination fees, the appraisal, title search and insurance, and recording fees. Freddie Mac puts typical closing costs at 2% to 5% of the price; this calculator applies that percentage to the loan balance, which at the default $300,000 means $6,000 to $15,000, with 3.5% ($10,500) as the default. The percentage is under "more assumptions"; your lender's Loan Estimate replaces it the moment you have one.

Where does the default new rate come from?

The 6.65% default is Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, as of 2026-08-20. It is a national average of quoted rates, not an offer; your quote depends on your credit, equity, and lender. Enter the quote in front of you and every figure on the page recomputes as you type.

Can an agent or a script use this calculator?

Yes. Every input is a query parameter, and the same parameters on /tools/refinance.json return the full answer as JSON: both payments, the monthly savings, closing costs, the break-even month (null when the payment does not drop), the keep-versus-refinance totals over your horizon, lifetime interest on each path, drivers, sensitivity tables by new rate and new term, assumptions with sources, and warnings. No browser, no API key.

Sources

Default values on this page: new rate 6.65% (Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey) and closing costs 3.5% of the new loan (Freddie Mac, What are closing costs and how much will I pay?; the published 2% to 5% range is measured against a home's price, and applying it to the balance is this calculator's simplification). The balance, current rate, and years left are examples to be replaced with your own numbers.

Want the number for your actual finances?

Carlo is a personal finance agent. It knows your accounts, debts, and goals, so instead of a break-even on an example loan it can tell you what this refinance does to your monthly cash flow, your payoff date, and the other things you are working toward. Text it the question.

ask carlo anything(415) 376-5678

Written by Tejas Shah, Co-founder, Engineering. Building Carlo — the financial model that begins with the decision you're actually weighing. Previously engineering leadership across fintech and consumer startups.

This compares a fixed-rate refinance against keeping an existing fixed-rate loan, with a published default for the new rate and a closing-cost percentage applied to the loan balance. It is not a rate quote, a loan estimate, or financial advice. Your lender's Loan Estimate is the figure that counts.